Source: Semafor
by David Weigel

“Last month, after Abdul El-Sayed and I wrapped up our interview in the Detroit suburbs, I mentioned the ongoing effort by centrist Democrats to link him to Graham Platner. The candidate laughed. El-Sayed rose on his strength during short TV hits, where he would talk about his issues — ‘Medicare for All,’ no more wars — and the interviewer would ask about newsy topics like Platner, who used some of the same consultants as him. El-Sayed liked to joke that he was already running for Senate as a Muslim with the middle name Muhammad, ‘and now I have to carry that guy?’ If centrists have their way: Yes, he does.” (07/15/26)

https://www.semafor.com/article/07/15/2026/how-obama-fits-into-democratic-centrists-comeback-plot

Source: Common Sense
by Paul Jacob

“Casinos compete with online prediction markets. One way to compete is just to compete. If some of your casino customers are drifting to online betting, find ways to make the in-person experience more appealing. Improve advertising. Jigger the odds ever-so-slightly more in favor of players. Increase the dollar value of wins. Etc. We might call this the economic means of competition. The other way to compete? Deploy the political means: cajole government to bludgeon competitors. Thus the American Gaming Association, which represents casinos, would like the federal government to do something to impede online prediction markets — the trading of contracts about what’s going to happen in sports and otherwise on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket.” (07/15/26)

https://thisiscommonsense.org/2026/07/15/bet-on-rigging-the-games/

Source: David Friedman’s Substack
by David Friedman

“My novel Salamander is a fantasy in which some mages are truthtellers. I did not put as much thought as I should have into the question of how a society would be different if it was possible to tell when someone was (subjectively) lying, a question relevant to fictional worlds but also to possible futures. A better understanding of how the mind works might produce a real lie detector, one that reliably reported whether a speaker believed that what he said was true. What effects would it have on our society, assuming the lie detector was inexpensive and available to almost everyone?” (07/15/26)

https://daviddfriedman.substack.com/p/if-lie-detectors-worked

Source: Liberal Currents
by Chuck Babbage

“At the end of May, the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) put forward a proposal for rules governing federal financial assistance, which includes almost all grant making in the United States including scientific research. OMB, which is run by the conservative machinator Russell Vought, has been a nexus of major Trump demolition jobs, including the immediate impoundment of scientific grants when Trump retook office in 2025. So scientific research in the United States was already on the run before this latest proposal. The Trump administration hates America’s research institutions.” (07/15/26)

https://www.liberalcurrents.com/ombs-new-proposed-rule-will-turn-federal-grants-personalist-and-partisan/