Source: Astral Codex Ten
by Scott Alexander
“AI has gone from ‘dumber than a child’ to ‘expert level’ in a few years in many domains. The gap between ‘expert level’ and ‘above top geniuses’ is smaller, so we expect it to take less time. This has been a pattern in fields like chess and Go, where it’s only a been a few years from beating professional players at all to beating all humans.” (06/11/26)