New Paradigms Won’t Save You

Source: Astral Codex Ten
by Scott Alexander

“One popular objection to AI concerns is to declare that LLMs can never be AGI. You need a ‘new paradigm.’ Therefore, AGI is so far in the future that it’s not worth worrying about. A common counterargument is to claim that no, LLMs can become AGI. But even without that counterargument, I think the ‘therefore’ fails on its own terms. The key question is: how much of a new paradigm do we need?” (05/22/26)

https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/new-paradigms-wont-save-you