Source: The Hill
by Harlan Ullman
“With two U.S. carrier strike groups assembling in the Arabian Sea, the chances of an armed conflict with Iran are uncomfortably high …. Unfortunately, other contingencies loom that raise uncomfortable historical parallels. I refer specifically to June 28, 1914, when Archduke Franz Ferdinand and his pregnant wife Sophie were shot and killed on a bridge in Sarajevo by 19-year-old Gavrilo Princip. That assassination triggered a series of mobilizations among the major European powers, based on faulty, outdated premises that whoever mobilizes first wins and that Prussia could easily and quickly defeat France by using railroads to mobilize. More than 110 years later, it is not mobilization that catalyzes catastrophe, but a series of crises that could ignite into a conflagration by a single spark or even a smoldering ember.” (02/23/26)
https://thehill.com/opinion/national-security/5748465-us-iran-conflict-arabian-sea/