Source: Bet On It
by Steve Kuhn
“To think is to forecast. A brain, whether biological or artificial, is a device that models the world by predicting its own future states. It guesses what will happen next and updates when it’s wrong. That’s how we move, learn languages, and make decisions. Cognition is prediction in motion. LLMs have shown how far this idea can go. By predicting the next word, they implicitly model physics, politics, and human psychology, because those are embedded in the patterns of text. Intelligence, it turns out, is an emergent property of very good prediction. The smarter the predictor, the richer the internal world model it must build. But LLMs are trained on language. What the world now needs is a system that trains humans on reality, a way to measure and improve real-world prediction itself.” (10/09/25)