Source: EconLog
by Scott Sumner
“The media is full of analyses as to why Donald Trump defeated Kamala Harris in the recent election. At various times, I’ve mentioned factors like voter frustration over high inflation, illegal immigration, and woke excesses on college campuses. The more I think about the election, however, the less confidence I have in any single explanation. This is especially true in a close election. And while Trump had a comfortable majority in the Electoral College, if just 1% of the electorate had uniformly swung from Trump to Harris, she would have won both the popular vote and the Electoral College.” (11/20/24)