Source: The Hill
by JT Young
“Fortunately for both Biden and Trump, November won’t be a popularity contest. Biden is the more fortunate of the two, but only slightly so. According to Real Clear Politics average of national polling, Biden trails Trump 44.2 percent to 44.5 percent in a two-way rematch, while his unfavorable rating is 55.1 percent to Trump’s 53.7 percent. In such adverse circumstances, November will be about getting supporters to the polls: Here Biden’s disadvantage looms larger still. … One telling element that is only starting to emerge is the divergence between polls of registered and likely voters. This difference is only starting to emerge because pollsters are only now beginning to differentiate between the two potential voting groups: those eligible to vote and those indicating a greater inclination to vote.” (04/25/24)