Source: The American Prospect
by Stanley B Greenberg
“The Harris campaign had been moving effectively into at least a 3-point national lead, with impressive margins in the key battleground states, until it stalled and slipped into an effectively tied race. Knowing why will enable Democrats to close the high-stakes 2024 campaign with a focused campaign that engages voters and wins. Election margins shift on this scale when the competing party bases get more people united, registered, and turned out to vote. Biden was slipping to at least a 3-point deficit when he passed the torch to Kamala Harris. … Biden was underperforming with the young, millennials, unmarried women, Blacks, and Hispanics. Three in five Democratic base voters thought the country was on the wrong track. She was looking at a base that was discontented and wanted visible change.” (10/24/24)
https://prospect.org/politics/2024-10-24-campaign-pushed-harris-tie-donald-trump/