ChatGPT Knows It’s a Bad Bayesian

Source: Bet On It
by Bryan Caplan

“I’ve had many great arguments with ChatGPT. But it’s worrisome that I almost always win. Often, it concedes that my contrarian view is 100% write. At minimum, it asymptotes to conceding that I’m 70% right. Most people characterize this [a]s ‘sycophancy bias.’ But the problem is deeper. Like almost all human beings, AIs are bad Bayesians.” (10/28/26)

https://www.betonit.ai/p/chatgpt-knows-its-a-bad-bayesian