Source: Astral Codex Ten
by Scott Alexander
“In recent posts on Trump and dictatorship, people have asked me – how do you know you’re not suffering from Trump Derangement Syndrome? I take this seriously; we’ve all lost loved ones to this condition. The best check on my reasoning would be an objective measure of the health of American democracy. There are several ‘democracy indices’ that purport to do this, but they have a mixed reputation. … The newest entrant in this space – Metaculus Democracy Threat Index – works differently, and deserves a closer look.” (06/25/26)
https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/the-metaculus-threat-to-democracy