Source: Niskanen Center
by Gil Guerra & Claire Holba
“The Venezuelan refugee and migrant crisis has become a key pillar in the administration’s justification for military action. President Trump has accused the Venezuelan government of sending criminal migrants to the U.S.-Mexico border, and stemming the flow of Venezuelan migrants appears to be one of the major motivations guiding current policy. Migration should therefore also be one of the key considerations that policymakers weighing intervention should take into account. Our report attempts to model what new outflows from Venezuela might look like based on different U.S. actions.” (11/12/25)