Source: Persuasion
by Jean M Twenge
“A firestorm erupted last week when the British professor and commentator Eric Kaufmann made a bold claim: Identifying as transgender is ‘in free fall among the young.’ … last week I analyzed data from the nationally representative Household Pulse survey, which asked directly about transgender identity. … The Household Pulse data showed a decline in trans identification among 18- to 22-year-olds in 2024, but I was cautious about drawing conclusions from it as the decline appeared only in a limited time period …. Then, over the weekend, I found it—a nationally representative survey that asked the same question about transgender identification from 2021 to 2024. It also asked separately about identifying as nonbinary. The data are from the Cooperative Election Study (CES), fielded each year by YouGov and administered by Tufts University. They show that identifying as transgender really is in free fall among the young in the United States.” (10/22/25)
https://www.persuasion.community/p/transgender-identity-really-has-fallen