ESA downgrades risk of “city killer” asteroid hitting Earth to 0.001%

Source: France 24 [French state media]

“The chance that a football field-sized asteroid capable of destroying a city will strike Earth in 2032 has fallen to 0.001 percent, the European Space Agency said on Tuesday. A week ago, the asteroid set a new record for having the highest probability of hitting Earth – 3.1 percent according to NASA, and 2.8 percent according to the ESA. The planetary defence community has been scanning the skies. However, as had been widely expected, fresh observations from telescopes around the world narrowed the area of uncertainty where the asteroid could strike, increasingly ruling out the odds of a direct hit. The ESA said the chance was now down to 0.001 percent, adding that the threat level on the Torino Impact Hazard Scale was now at zero – after hitting level three out of a possible 10 last week.” (02/25/25)

https://www.france24.com/en/science/20250225-risk-of-city-killer-asteroid-hitting-earth-downgraded-to-0-001