The Election Really Could Come Down to Turnout. That’s Bad for Donald Trump.

Source: Washington Monthly
by Bill Scher

“Every national and battleground state poll shows a statistical dead heat, with neither Kamala Harris nor Donald Trump holding a lead outside the margin of error. Many factors could determine the outcome of a race this close. One of those factors is the relative strength of the competing campaigns’ get-out-the-vote [GOTV] operations. … in a contest where one or more states may be decided by less than a percentage point, the rational strategic decision is to invest money and talent in an effective turnout operation. All available evidence indicates that Harris did that and Trump did not.” (11/04/24)

https://washingtonmonthly.com/2024/11/04/the-election-really-could-come-down-to-turnout-thats-bad-for-donald-trump/