“Strategic Ambiguity” Has the US and Taiwan Trapped

Source: Foreign Policy
by Raymond Kuo

“Strategic ambiguity typically is understood as deliberately creating uncertainty in Beijing and Taipei about whether the United States would intervene in a war. This supposedly creates dual deterrence: The threat of U.S. intervention prevents China from invading, and the fear of U.S. abandonment prevents Taiwan from sparking a war by declaring independence, which China considers a casus belli. This approach, supporters contend, has kept peace for decades and prevented entrapment, whereby the United States unwillingly gets pulled into war. Strategic ambiguity, however, may rest on faulty concepts and little systematic evidence. The United States has never officially articulated what it means nor adopted it as policy. At this point, strategic ambiguity may be doing more harm than good.” (01/18/23)