How to See the Future

Source: Everything Voluntary
by Isaac Morehouse

“What technology that exists today has the ability to upend the way things are done a decade from now? The ability to identify this is correlated with ability to predict the future. A lot of people attempt to predict the future by going to the edge of technology and imagine changes brought by inventions that don’t yet exist. ‘Once AI is able to do X, it will change Y in the following ways’ kinds of predictions are very unlikely to be accurate. There are too many variables. Instead, find technologies that actually exist and work well today, but very few people realize or use them yet.” (07/07/21)