Electorate May Want Both Afghan Pullout and Non-Pullout

Source: EconLog
by Pierre Lemieux

“A recent NBC/YouGov opinion survey shows that nearly two-thirds of American adults agree with a pullout from Afghanistan (see question 4). Can we infer that the electorate prefers a pullout to maintaining a small military in Afghanistan or even to a ‘forever war?’ Not at all, as the ‘Condorcet paradox’ demonstrates. … I am not taking sides on the substantive issues in the Afghan war, but only pointing out that the electorate does not know what ‘it’ wants. In general, we can expect it to prefer both A and non-A; in this case, pullout and non-pullout.” (08/30/21)